COTTON active medium volatility

Cotton No. 2 (CT — ICE)

agricultural · ICE Futures US · CT (Cotton No. 2 Futures)

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Cotton futures on ICE. Textile fiber crop; US and China are key price drivers.

Version: v1 active Updated: Mar 08, 2026 Asset Class: agricultural Queue: 100 headlines Labels: 0

📡 Sentiment Profile

Sensitivity medium
Lag days
Volatility medium
⚠️

Cotton can weaken on strong crop reports despite good demand, as supply overhang fears dominate. China reserve releases often have less impact than feared.

Key Narratives
US cotton belt weather and production China import demand and reserves Textile sector demand indicators Polyester competition and oil prices India and Pakistan crop conditions USDA export sales and shipments

🏛️ Market Context

Exchange ICE Futures US
Contract CT (Cotton No. 2 Futures)
Key Entities
USDA China India Texas boll weevil synthetic fiber demand harvest
📅

US planting March-June, harvest October-December. Northern Hemisphere demand typically stronger in Q4-Q1 for winter clothing.

Price Drivers

US planting and weather (especially Texas), Chinese demand and policy, competition from synthetic fibers, USDA reports

Known Inversions

Phrases where sentiment is opposite to what a generic model would predict

Phrase Naive Polarity Actual Direction Reason Confidence
synthetic alternative 🟡 Neutral 🔴 BEARISH Cheaper polyester captures market share from cotton 0.80

Data Sources

News sources configured for this security's ingestion pipeline

Source Type Query Terms Items Last Fetched
Google News - Cotton google_news
cotton prices cotton futures USDA cotton textile demand
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NewsAPI Cotton newsapi
cotton cotton prices textile cotton crop
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Reddit r/farming reddit
cotton cotton farming textile
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Cotton Grower RSS rss
cotton cotton prices textile
0 —