COFFEE active high volatility

Coffee Arabica (KC — ICE)

agricultural · ICE Futures US · KC (Coffee C Futures)

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Arabica coffee futures on ICE. Brazil produces ~40% of world supply.

Version: v1 active Updated: Mar 08, 2026 Asset Class: agricultural Queue: 100 headlines Labels: 0

📡 Sentiment Profile

Sensitivity medium
Lag days
Volatility high
⚠️

Coffee can rally on frost fears well before damage is confirmed, then crash when actual impact is assessed. Strong demand data sometimes pressures prices as roaster coverage improves.

Key Narratives
Brazilian frost and drought risks Vietnam robusta production Colombian and Central American supply Certified stock levels Roaster demand and consumer trends Shipping and logistics constraints

🏛️ Market Context

Exchange ICE Futures US
Contract KC (Coffee C Futures)
Key Entities
Brazil Colombia frost drought harvest La Nina BRL biennial
📅

Brazilian frost risk July-August (Southern Hemisphere winter). Main Brazil harvest April-September. Vietnam harvest October-February.

Price Drivers

Brazilian crop conditions (frost, drought), biennial bearing cycle, Colombian supply, BRL/USD exchange rate, global consumption

Known Inversions

Phrases where sentiment is opposite to what a generic model would predict

Phrase Naive Polarity Actual Direction Reason Confidence
Brazil frost 🔴 Negative 🟢 BULLISH Cold damages coffee trees, reducing future supply 0.80
off-year production 🔴 Negative 🟢 BULLISH Coffee trees produce less every other year (biennial effect) 0.80

Data Sources

News sources configured for this security's ingestion pipeline

Source Type Query Terms Items Last Fetched
Google News - Coffee google_news
coffee prices coffee futures Brazil coffee arabica robusta
0 —
NewsAPI Coffee newsapi
coffee coffee prices Brazil frost arabica
0 —
Reddit r/coffee reddit
coffee coffee beans coffee market
0 —
Perfect Daily Grind RSS rss
coffee coffee prices arabica
0 —